Are homebuyers springing into action this season? Here’s what we know.

New headshot of Pacaso Co-Founder and CEO Austin Allison
Austin Allison
April 18, 2024
I’m Austin, CEO and co-founder of Pacaso
As spring unfolds across the nation, the housing market is seeing a gradual increase in both inventory and transactions — a potential easing of the competitive landscape for home buyers. But while homebuyer demand is gaining traction affordability remains a challenge due to rising home prices and near-7% mortgage rates. Because of this, buyers are exploring innovative solutions like co-ownership, which saw a 21% year-over-year increase across the U.S. In response, Pacaso has expanded our co-ownership listings nationwide to appeal to a broader audience. We share the success thus far of this new initiative and dive deeper into current market dynamics below.

1. Slow but steady increase in inventory and transactions

According to Altos Research, new listing volume is up 2.6% from last week — an impressive 30% surge compared to last year. This shift marks a departure from previous years, where inventory was on a declining trend heading into the spring home buying season.This gradual uptick in inventory is a promising indicator of sales transaction volume in the coming months, offering buyers more options to shop from. However, we anticipate a similarly slow, but steady increase in transactions. According to the National Association of Realtors (NAR), pending home sales only rose by 1.6% month-over-month in February 2024. However, buyer demand shows signs of picking up with mortgage applications increasing 6.2% in March 2024 compared to last year according to  Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) Builder Application Survey.

2. Homebuyer demand for new construction heats up

The NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index, a key indicator of new home sales, climbed to 51 in March. This marks the highest level since July 2023, suggesting a growing appetite among potential buyers for newly built homes. 

3. Home buyers should get comfortable with near 7% rates this spring

While mortgage rates declined at the end of last year, they have since returned to above 7%. As of April 17, the average rate on 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate was at a five-month high of 7.43%, according to Mortgage News Daily. Prospective homebuyers this spring need to remember the old saying “marry the house, date the rate,” and expect rates to stay near 7% for the spring season, with hopes of steadily declining rates as the year progresses.At Pacaso, we offer co-owners innovative financing options. Currently, 50% of our “Available now” Pacaso homes are eligible for buyer financing at 5% or less with assumable mortgages. 

4. Home prices continue to rise

Despite slowly increasing, the low inventory of homes for sale has placed significant pressure on prices, resulting in above-average monthly appreciation. According to CoreLogic, home prices across the country experienced a year-over-year increase of 5.5% in February 2024. On a month-over-month basis, home prices grew by 0.7% in February 2024 compared with January 2024.

5. Housing affordability hurdles persist

Rising home prices continue to pose a significant hurdle for potential buyers. A recent Redfin report highlights this affordability challenge, revealing that a typical household would need to earn $113,520 annually to afford the median-priced home in the U.S. — a 35% increase compared to average household incomes. This squeeze led to homeownership affordability hitting its lowest level since the 1980s, driven by record-high home prices and a 23-year high in mortgage rates.To combat affordability challenges, buyers are exploring innovative solutions like co-ownership. Pacaso's inaugural Co-Ownership Growth Report revealed a 21% year-over-year increase in co-ownership across the U.S. Similarly, Opendoor’s 2024 report focusing on first-time homebuyers by Opendoor found that approximately a quarter of these buyers opted not to purchase their homes with a significant other. Instead, they turned to alternative arrangements including friends (11%), siblings (7%), colleagues (3%), and even individuals they connected with online (3%).In response to evolving market dynamics, Pacaso has recently undertaken a nationwide expansion of our listings to appeal to a broader audience, with listings now starting at $200,000. Additionally, we have introduced DIY legal services to support individuals interested in co-owning primary or secondary homes independently. This initiative opens up new opportunities for buyers across the country.
The initial response has been overwhelmingly positive. We've witnessed an increase   in first-time app sessions and unique home details page views, along with a 265% surge in home searches on our website. Moreover, more prospective buyers are following homes and showing interest in new listings. We’ve received buyer interest and deposits for properties in destinations like Steamboat Springs, Colorado; Big Bear, California; Park City, Utah and Alys Beach, Florida; Cabo, Mexico and in Nantucket, Massachusetts. We'll continue to check in with updates, and encourage you to contact us with any questions about a market of interest.

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